Abstract
In precision agriculture (PA) fertilizing, based on soil testing, production maps and crop nitrogen (N) demand, is the key to maximizing yields and tempering fertilizer costs. A trend study has considered the output / input relationships performed on a farm that has progressively adapted to PA procedures over two decades. The evolutions of the variability parameters of yield, comprising the repeatability coefficient of repeated plots, the vegetative vigour (NDRE) at the panicle initiation (pi) stage, and the nitrogen utilization efficiency (NUE) were monitored and compared by means of mixed linear models over a six-year period, after the variable nitrogen (N) fertilization rate (VNFR) had been enlarged to the whole 230 ha of one farm. At pi key fertilization stage, a corrective dose was applied by tacking the correlation between Npi and the measured NDRE in strong negative mode. The evolution of the yield, for the 2012-2017 interval, based on 1165 ha-1 parcel-data, showed a significant yearly increase of 2.3% more than the regional trend (+0.5%). The variability parameters of the yield, that is, the standard deviation (+7.3%), range (+7.1%), coefficient of variation (+5.4%) and maximum (+2.1%) were enhanced over the years, but the minimum remained stable. The repeatability of the parcel yield generally appeared low (r = +0.31), but it tended to increase by 8.3% year-1 (P = 0.018). At the same time, the vegetational vigour also showed significant increases of the NDRE means (+3.0%) as well as of the maximum (+0.8%), but also large oscillations in the standard deviation and in the coefficient of variation. No significant regression of the NDRE on the coefficient of variation of the yield was established. The favorable increase in yield was found to be independent of the distributed N-total. A strong negative correlation (imposed) between N-pi and NDRE (-0.90) and a negative correlation with production were observed for a sample field (but in the area of maximum production). It is recommended that a partial correlation between Yield and N-tot should be considered in the I /O features for a parity of NDRE, which apparently decreases the negativity of the relationship. In short: with the same total input of N, the PA increased the yield, but also its variability - and it did not reduce the variability as predicted by the theory - by strengthening the repeatability. This is an evidence that in many of the parcels with minimum yield the limiting factors cannot be referred to the N availability.
Author Contributions
Copyright© 2019
Sarasso Giuseppe, et al.
License
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This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
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Introduction
After long and detailed studies focused on production models developed in universities The progress in yield raising and homogenizing by use of the fertilization maps may be quickly achieved at the beginning of the process Since the PA is welcome in rice cultivation, in this work we aimed to study in retrospect the productive consequences of its application on a PA Italian rice farm, oriented to obtain maximum yields. In this paper we are concerned in featuring the trends in the variability parameters, obtaining some lessons from fields. A trend study has considered the output / input relationships performed on a farm that has progressively adapted to PA procedures over two decades. The evolutions of the variability parameters of yield, comprising the repeatability coefficient of repeated plots, the vegetative vigour (NDRE) at the panicle initiation (pi) stage, and the nitrogen utilization efficiency (NUE) were monitored and compared by means of mixed linear models over a six-year period, after the variable nitrogen (N) fertilization rate (VNFR) had been enlarged to the whole farm.
Materials And Methods
The PA experience started in 1998 with a harvester which was equipped with a yield meter, and then with a yield monitor, a satellite receiver and a light bar to assist manual drive. The farm now spreads fertilizers using a VRT technology, following prescription maps or real time signals of vigor sensors using an OptRx by AgLeader ( Before N-pi administration, a drone was used to assess the mean and probable range of the NDRE readings of the sensor, and to fix the thresholds. Following an RTK signal, herbicides are sprayed by a VRT sprayer, which controls the opening and closing of the nozzles lead from a GPS signal, and yield maps are obtained by an harvester equipped with an AgLeader yield meter. All the technology had to be adapted to the soil ( Yield data from each 19x19m2 mesh plot have been elaborated for the 2012-17 interval (No. 1165 ha-1). Yield repeatability was calculated as a Pearson correlation of the plot-yields within field between consecutive years. Several mixed models (PROC MIXED by SAS 9.0), concerning the yield and NDRE, were applied to the statistical parameters of the fields, whereby the effects of the field or cultivar were considered fixed and the year was taken as the random factor in order to estimate the linear trend. Conversely, when the years were considered fixed, and the fields were considered as the random factor, a least squares solution was found. The covariation of the variability between the different traits was enhanced by fitting a linear or non-linear regression of the estimates. A Friedman s test for paired samples was used to compare the yield averages of the farm Place: r12; r13 and r23 then r12.3 = (r12 - r13 * r23) / ((1-r13^2)^.5* (1-r23^2)^.5)). Place: regression b1/2 = covariance12 / stdev2 ^2; regression b2/1 = covariance 12 / stdev1 ^2 then (b1 * b2) = r12^2. A yearly increase of +2.3% more than the +0.5% of the regional features ( a>b, P =0.01 The statistics of the yield of the single plots confirmed the +2.3% year-1 trend( The NDRE trend grew by +3.0% year-1 (P =0.044), with significantly different annual values (P =0.000; : correlation (mean, coef. var) =-0.33 The SD spanned the years (P =0.032) and rose by +3% (not significant) with an important rise in 2015. The coefficient of variation did not fluctuate over the years, but highlighted a descending parabolic trend (P =0.05. The Minimum remained stable over the years, while the range and the maximum oscillated (P =0.027), but tended to increase by 1.2% year-1, following a nonlinear shape. The co-evolution of the two variables was apparently null ( The vegetation vigour NDRE statistics of fifteen cultivars grown in Italy are reported in As shown in Table 6. summarizes the O/I relationships for two years. The N-PI was about 28-30% of the total. The yield-N-tot correlation, which was negative for both years, became less negative at NDRE parity. In
Items
Units
Worst
Best
Average Yields
t ha-1
7.30
8.29
Gravel (>2mm)
mg kg dry sub.-1.
12.57
16.00
Sand (2-0.5 mm)
mg kg dry sub. -1
312.71
332.71
Silt (0.5-0.02 mm)
mg kg dry sub. -1
582.29
565.14
Clay (<0.02 mm)
mg kg dry sub. -1
105.00
102.14
pH H2O
pH units
5.70
5.77
pH CaCl2
pH units
4.97
5.01
CaCO3 TOT
mg kg dry sub. -1
0.00
0.00
CaCO3 ACTIVE
mg kg dry sub. -1
0.00
0.00
Organic Matter (calculated)
mg kg dry sub. -1
22.57
22.00
Organic C (Dumas)
mg kg dry sub. -1
13.11
12.76
N TOT
mg kg dry sub. -1
1.30
1.24
C/N rate
9.91
10.23
Cationic exchange capacity
meq 100g dry sub. -1
13.46
13.11
Exchangeable Ca
meq 100g dry sub. -1
4.43
4.22
Exchangeable Mg
meq 100g dry sub. -1
0.86
0.82
Exchangeable K
meq 100g dry sub. -1
0.24
0.20
Exchangeable Na
meq 100g dry sub. -1
0.04
0.04
Basis saturation
%
41.29
40.14
Ca/Mg rate
5.17
5.20
Mg/K rate
3.87
3.99
Assimilable P
mg kg dry sub. -1
27.00
29.86
Year
N-total
Yield
NUE
NW Italy yield
kg ha-1
t ha-1
kg N kg-1
t ha-1
2012
165.0
7.47
45.30
6.80
2013
167.0
7.62
45.63
6.63
2014
165.0
7.65
46.38
6.44
2015
160.8
7.70
47.88
6.67
2016
162.2
8.21
50.60
6.77
2017
184.3
8.36
45.39
6.92
Mean
167.4
7.84 a
46.9
6.70 b
Trend\year
1.58
1.63
0.8
0.8
Linear trend %
0.9%
2.3%
1.7%
0.5%
P.value linear
0.053
0.009
0.063
0.213
P.value quadratic
0.033
0.067
0.214
P.value cubic
0.023
0.192
Mean
St.dev
Coef.var
Max
Min
Range
Repeatability
2012
7.48
0.85
0.10
8.91
5.19
3.58
0.183
2013
7.62
1.05
0.12
9.24
4.94
4.13
0.273
2014
7.65
0.82
0.09
8.86
5.16
3.56
0.445
2015
7.70
1.02
0.10
8.93
4.62
4.28
0.284
2016
8.21
1.17
0.12
9.61
4.94
4.67
0.325
2017
8.36
1.26
0.13
10.01
4.84
5.20
0.370
Mean
7.84
1.03
0.11
9.26
4.95
4.24
0.313
P.value Means
0.0073
0.0004
0.0247
0.0212
0.7794
0.0032
0.002
Trend year-1
0.179
0.075
0.006
0.191
-0.065
0.299
0.026
Trend %
2.3%
7.3%
5.4%
2.1%
-1.3%
7.1%
8.3%
P.value linear
0.0002
0.0003
0.0164
0.0071
0.3633
0.0003
0.0184
P.value quadratic
0.224
0.147
0.200
R
0.824
0.525
0.463
0.494
0.164
0.712
0.125
Year
Mean
St. dev
Coef. Var
Max
Min
Range
2012
0.254
0.032
0.136
0.319
0.194
0.157
2013
0.295
0.033
0.140
0.375
0.227
0.215
2014
0.311
0.031
0.100
0.361
0.231
0.150
2015
0.316
0.037
0.119
0.370
0.212
0.214
2016
0.290
0.032
0.113
0.347
0.195
0.163
2017
0.317
0.035
0.115
0.354
0.236
0.181
Mean
0.297
0.033
0.121
0.354
0.216
0.180
P.value Mean
0.000
0.032
0.290
0.027
0.195
0.027
Trend year-1
0.009
0.001
-0.005
0.003
0.003
0.001
Trend %
3.0%
3.0%
-4.1%
0.8%
1.4%
0.6%
P.value
0.044
0.240
0.833
0.054
0.355
0.077
Cultivar
Mean
St. dev
Max
Min
Range
Coef. variation
ALLEGRO
0.201
0.025
0.283
0.137
0.183
13%
CARNISE_
0.262
0.024
0.341
0.168
0.141
10%
RONALDO
0.285
0.033
0.381
0.142
0.202
12%
LEONARDO
0.299
0.029
0.398
0.231
0.199
10%
GLORIA
0.307
0.027
0.371
0.197
0.166
9%
MARE
0.312
0.028
0.375
0.239
0.117
10%
DUCATO
0.315
0.028
0.352
0.212
0.148
9%
CL26
0.319
0.038
0.407
0.188
0.224
12%
TERRA
0.321
0.031
0.387
0.199
0.219
10%
KRISTALL
0.325
0.028
0.380
0.221
0.159
9%
DARDO
0.333
0.036
0.409
0.197
0.192
11%
SIRIO_CL
0.333
0.035
0.419
0.193
0.199
11%
SOLE
0.334
0.028
0.403
0.272
0.116
9%
SELENIO
0.336
0.109
0.397
0.223
0.189
31%
CENTAURO
0.346
0.034
0.431
0.178
0.206
10%
Prob.
<.0001
<.0001
0.0008
0.0084
0.1262
<.0001
Items
Means
St. dev.
Coef. Var
Pearson Correlations
2017
N-0
N-PI
N-Tot
NDRE
Yield
9.5
0.753
7.9%
0.02
-0.11
-0.04
0.14
NDRE
0.318
0.026
8%
0.23
-0.93
-0.25
1
N-pi
63
6.9
11%
1
0.30
N-0
143
13.1
9%
N-tot
206
13.4
7%
N-pi/N-0
30%
NUE
21.70
Yield,N .NDRE
0.06
-0.01
2018
Yield
N-0
N-pi
N-tot
NDRE
Yield
8.7
1.013
11.6%
-0.19
-0.58
-0.38
0.54
NDRE
0.319
0.045
14%
-0.16
-0.92
-0.47
1
N-pi
47
8.7
19%
1
0.50
N-0
118
20.7
18%
N-tot
164
23.7
14%
N-pi/N-0
28%
NUE
18.85
Yield,N .NDRE
-0.22
-0.17
Discussion
The first lesson learned from the farm was that there was a low repeatability of parcel yields in subsequent years. Since this parameter is independent of the operators, it is generally neglected. The PA capabilities can now be used to monitor the parcel responses at a capillary level, thus parcel repeatability could be considered by means of algorithms, especially considering that its positive evolution seems to follow the increase in variability. In fact, a perfect PA aims to a strong homogeneity in parcel production, ergo a zero-correlation between the O/I framework. The germinability of the seeds for flooded rice production is a very critical point, and a variable steam density may affect the yield The second lesson pertained to the increase in variability of the yield and, to a lesser extent, in NDRE after that a strong negative correlation (< -0.90) was imposed on the N-pi variable fertilization, as inversely proportional to the vegetative vigour attained near PI. Cordero et al The improvement of the mean and maximum yields, and not of the minimum, depends on several plots where the limiting factor cannot be referred to the N availability. A next challenge will be to check the repeatability for yield in those critical plots and to find which is the limiting factor, or, more simply, to reduce the N rate, avoiding a waste. The third lesson concerned the negative correlation between N-tot and yield, which resulted even after absorbing the N-pi in the N-tot. In the experimental plot studies, the correlations were generally positive, and even very high, until the maximum yield was reached The fourth lesson is related the uncertainty of the reference parcels which identified at zero- input The NDRE variability also depends to a great extent on the cultivar, and on the evolution of the temperature and light intensity of the growing season, and it is therefore not automatic to apply the correlation between NDRE and the N rate for PI fertilization of the previous years. The empirical method applied till now on the farm is: i) to consider the prescription threshold table applied in the same cultivar in the previous years; ii) to detect by a drone the gross average NDRE for this cultivar in the current year, and iii) to adapt the prescription threshold table to this parameter. It could also be useful to adapt the N rates to the weather forecast for the following 40 days, if it could be considered reliable.